Mudashiru Ajayi Obasa’s Downfall: The Political Misstep of Ambitious Politician

The impeachment of Mudashiru Obasa, the former Speaker of the Lagos State House of Assembly, is a telling example of how political ambition, if not carefully managed, can lead to downfall. Obasa, once seen as a rising star in Lagos politics, became embroiled in allegations of corruption and a power struggle with Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu. His rumored ambition to run for governor in 2027 only fueled tensions, culminating in his removal by an overwhelming majority of assembly members.

An analysis of Obasa’s missteps through the strategic lenses of The Art of War by Sun Tzu, The Prince by Niccolò Machiavelli, and The 48 Laws of Power by Robert Greene reveals crucial lessons in leadership, ambition, and the perils of political maneuvering.

Machiavelli: The Danger of Overreaching

In The Prince, Machiavelli warns that unchecked ambition can alienate allies and embolden enemies. Obasa’s rumored governorship bid created a rift between him and the party leadership, particularly Governor Sanwo-Olu. By openly challenging the governor’s influence, Obasa disrupted the delicate balance of power within the All Progressives Congress (APC).

Machiavelli emphasizes the importance of securing the loyalty of allies while eliminating threats discreetly. Obasa failed on both counts: his strained relationships with fellow lawmakers and perceived legislative overreach, such as his alleged push to remove the Lagos INEC chairman, only deepened mistrust.

Greene’s Laws of Power: Fatal Violations

Robert Greene’s The 48 Laws of Power offers further insight into Obasa’s political blunders. His actions violated several key principles, notably:
• Law 1: Never Outshine the Master
Obasa’s perceived challenge to Governor Sanwo-Olu’s authority was a direct violation of this principle. By positioning himself as a rival to the governor, he drew unnecessary attention and provoked retaliation from party leaders.
• Law 19: Know Who You’re Dealing With
Obasa underestimated the influence and resolve of his adversaries within the APC. His failure to anticipate their response to his growing ambition left him vulnerable to impeachment.
• Law 15: Crush Your Enemy Totally
Greene advises that when dealing with opposition, one must act decisively to eliminate threats. Obasa’s inability to consolidate power and address internal dissent allowed his rivals to undermine his leadership.

Sun Tzu: Timing and Subtlety in Strategy

Sun Tzu’s The Art of War underscores the importance of timing and strategic positioning. Obasa’s decision to launch a grassroots support group for his governorship ambitions was premature and exposed his intentions too early. This gave his opponents ample time to strategize against him, leading to his downfall.

Sun Tzu also stresses the need to “appear weak when you are strong.” Had Obasa pursued his ambitions more subtly, he might have avoided direct confrontation with powerful figures like Governor Sanwo-Olu and maintained his position as Speaker.

Corruption Allegations and Public Perception

The allegations of financial impropriety involving ₦170 billion in assembly funds further eroded Obasa’s credibility. Machiavelli advises leaders to avoid actions that make them despised or hated; Obasa’s alleged misconduct not only tarnished his image but also provided his opponents with the ammunition they needed to justify his impeachment.

The Fallout: Lessons in Political Strategy

Obasa’s impeachment serves as a cautionary tale for ambitious leaders. His story highlights the dangers of overreaching, failing to build trust, and neglecting the strategic principles that govern political survival. Ambition, while essential for leadership, must be tempered with prudence, calculated alliances, and a clear understanding of the political landscape.

In the end, Obasa’s inability to navigate these challenges cost him not only his position but also his political standing. For future leaders, his downfall is a stark reminder of the delicate balance between ambition and strategy in the pursuit of power.