UK Polls Signal Possible “Electoral Extinction” for Sunak’s Conservatives


LONDON, June 15 (Reuters) – Three British opinion polls released late on Saturday painted a bleak picture for Prime Minister Rishi Sunak’s Conservative Party, with one pollster warning of potential “electoral extinction” in the upcoming July 4 election.

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The polls were published midway through the election campaign, following a week in which both the Conservatives and Labour unveiled their manifestos, and just before postal ballots were set to be sent out.

Sunak surprised many by calling for an early election on May 22, defying expectations that he would wait until later in the year to allow more time for economic recovery after the highest inflation in 40 years.

Savanta’s poll found 46% support for Keir Starmer’s Labour Party, a 2-point increase from the previous poll five days earlier, while support for the Conservatives dropped 4 points to 21%. The poll, conducted from June 12 to June 14, was published by the Sunday Telegraph.

Labour’s 25-point lead is the largest since Sunak’s predecessor, Liz Truss, faced backlash for her tax cut plans, which led to a market crash and a Bank of England intervention.

“Our research suggests that this election could be nothing short of electoral extinction for the Conservative Party,” said Chris Hopkins, political research director at Savanta.

A separate poll by Survation, published by the Sunday Times, predicted the Conservatives could secure only 72 seats in the 650-member House of Commons—their lowest in nearly 200 years—while Labour would win 456 seats. This poll, conducted from May 31 to June 13, showed Labour at 40% and the Conservatives at 24%, with Nigel Farage’s Reform UK party at 12%.

A third poll by Opinium for Sunday’s Observer, conducted from June 12 to June 14, also showed Labour at 40%, the Conservatives at 23%, and Reform UK at 14%, indicating a shift in voter support towards smaller parties.

By Naija247news
By Naija247news
Naija247news is an investigative news platform that tracks news on Nigerian Economy, Business, Politics, Financial and Africa and Global Economy.

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